Policy can brighten the economic outlook
After five years of crisis, the global economy is weakening again. In this we are not facing a new pattern. Over the recent past, signs of emergence from the crisis have more than once given way to a renewed slowdown or even a double-dip recession in some countries. The risk of a new major contraction cannot be ruled out. A recession is ongoing in the euro area, the US economy is growing but below what was expected earlier this year, and a slowdown has surfaced in many emerging market economies.
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The euro: A message of solidarity
The EU’s crisis has as much to do with leadership and solidarity as resolving fiscal and debt problems. It is time to dispense with caricatures and write the next chapter in the EU’s ongoing history. And for that, clear and transparent data will be needed.
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Making the euro area work
The euro area has been at the centre of the global financial storms for two years. Some serious observers have begun to question whether the euro area will survive these currents. The recently published OECD Economic Survey of the Euro Area shows how Europe’s bold experiment in economic integration can be made to work.
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Euro: A strategic choice
Poland is not yet a member of the euro area, though is watching the euro situation with close interest.
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Is the euro crisis over?
The new euro architecture that is to come into effect from July still suffers from shortcomings, and problem countries have yet to prove that they can survive within the euro says Thomas Mayer. It would be premature to sound the all clear on the euro crisis.
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A labour market with few wrinkles
Canada’s labour market was spared some of the more dramatic peaks and troughs of the economic crisis. Why?
(790 words)Africa's tax system: A survey
Building tax administration capacity is needed to help spur development in Africa. A new survey shows that action is being taken, but more work is needed.
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Business investment is picking up
Is the worst economic crisis of modern times really over? Though there are risks to the downside, the latest OECD Economic Outlook points to a recovery taking hold.
(358 words)Financial reform: A start, but only a start
Speculation and greed were at the heart of the global financial collapse. Reforms of financial regulation have gone some way to curbing their impact, but a lot more still needs to be done.
(1293 words)Fixing finance: Few easy answers
The financial system may be out of intensive care, but it would be wrong to assume it has fully recovered. Major questions remain over how banks operate and how they are regulated. The solutions aren’t always obvious, but they must be found if we’re to avoid another crisis.
(1587 words)US health spending: A closer look
The United States spent 16% of its national income (GDP) on health in 2007. This is by far the highest share in the OECD and more than seven percentage points higher than the average of 8.9% in OECD countries. Even France, Switzerland and Germany, the countries which, apart from the United States, spend the greatest proportion of national income on health, spent over 5 percentage points of GDP less: respectively 11.0%, 10.8% and 10.4% of their GDP.
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US President Barack Obama greets Angel Gurría ©Getty Images/OECD
News brief - October 2009
Outlook brightens; Progressive measures; Soundbites; Warning for EU; Protectionism warning; G20; Tax notes; Economy; Plus ça change
(1391 words)Grappling with grain prices
A three-pronged grain reserve system could protect poor countries from volatile food prices and shocks, and help respond to food emergencies.
(1198 words)Bubble outbursts
Your article on Islamic banking ("Islamic banking: an asset of promise?" No 272 April 2009) suggests that financial temperance is still possible. The ratio of assets leveraged against capital cited in the article, 20 to 1 in US banks, 30 to 1 in Europe, yet only 10 to 1 in Islamic banks reveals just how much the financial system has made greed systemic.
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© David Rooney
Why tax matters for development
In 2008 a US senate subcommittee issued a report alleging that banks located in tax havens cost US taxpayers some $100 billion a year in lost revenue. That is a considerable leakage, especially in light of US laws, institutions and other mechanisms to help control tax evasion.
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Energy in a crisis
The International Energy Agency (IEA) is 35 years old in 2009. A sister organisation of the OECD, it offers a timely reminder that a co-ordinated public response to a crisis can succeed.
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Banking on fair tax
The financial crisis might not have been caused by taxation, but it nonetheless raises concerns about evasion, compliance and transparency in financial markets. The OECD Observer asked South Africa's minister of finance, Pravin Gordhan, who chairs the OECD's Forum on Tax Administration, to explain.
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Open book
"The right to privacy will remain a cornerstone of our legal system"
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Islamic banking
Crisis-weary bankers, financial regulators and investors could look to Islamic banking for inspiration.
(1521 words)The world needs to rewrite the rules of finance and global business
The pain and anguish of the current global economic crisis were caused by a series of massive failures in the heart of the world’s most developed countries. We are in our current fix because of an excess of financial innovation, driven by ever-increasing thirst for short-term profit.
(717 words)Towards growth and a “social contract” for Europe
European leaders should shift their focus from austerity to growth, not least to fight unemployment, says the ETUC, which urges a Social Progress Protocol to be attached to the European treaties.
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Look out, not in
The crisis-induced trend towards inward-looking policies poses great dangers for Europe.
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It’s all about people
Ultimately the economic crisis is about people, says Espen Barth Eide, Norway’s minister of foreign affairs. That is why respecting human rights and adherence to democratic principles are fundamental when addressing the current economic crisis. We are in this together, so we need multilateral solutions more than ever.
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A euro at two speeds?
How can the euro crisis unfold? For David McWilliams, Irish economist and best-selling author, the answer is probably a two-speed arrangement between core and periphery.
(1142 words)Out of work: A portrait
"Being unemployed is frustrating, demeaning and, at this point, frightening." Anyone who has any doubt about the devastating effects unemployment can have will learn a lot from statements such as this one, captured in a recent survey undertaken by the John. J. Heldrich Center for Workforce Development at Rutgers University in the US.(520 words)Early warnings?
Productivity had been plummeting in OECD economies for a few years before the advent of the financial crisis.
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Into Africa
Africa did not cause the economic crisis, but will suffer from it. What are the prospects?
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Clearing up the banks
If the general consensus is correct-that the roots of global economic crisis are in the financial system-then it follows that to resolve the crisis the global financial governance and financial market regulation must be fixed.
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Corporate governance: Lessons from the financial crisis
If there is one major lesson to draw from the financial crisis, it is that corporate governance matters.
(1165 words)Fixing finance
There are good reasons why the public has lost confidence in banking and finance. Two issues in particular must be addressed before it can be restored– moral hazard and conflict of interest. Reforms should ensure that banks and bankers–not taxpayers–pay the price of failure and are held fully accountable for their actions.
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In Japan’s footsteps
The global economy took a sharp turn for the worse following the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008, and today it is increasingly apparent that the crisis has entered its second round. This time we are facing a combination of low growth and trouble in the financial sector, just as governments find themselves running out of economic policy options.
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Pier Carlo Padoan ©OECD
The evolving paradigm
The history of economic policymaking has been marked by a succession of “paradigms” defining the goals of economic policy and the instruments used to attain them.
OECD Chief Economist Pier Carlo Padoan looks at where we go from here.(991 words)Banks in the balance
Whether or not you believe they have been reformed enough, few institutions have received as much attention during the current economic crisis as banks.
But how much money do they really control and how can their behaviour affect our economies so much?
(223 words)House prices: Which way now?
Financial market failures were a major cause of the economic crisis, but property markets, particularly for housing, have had a leading part to play too. From the subprime debacle in the US to the bursting of unprecedented real estate bubbles in Ireland, Spain and Greece, among others, the overheating and collapse of property markets not only hurt savings and investments, but was felt throughout entire economies, affecting construction, employment, lending, spending and more.
(564 words)Recovery worries
“Growth is turning out to be much slower than we thought three months ago," OECD Chief Economist Pier Carlo Padoan said when issuing his organisation's forecast update for major global economies on 8 September.
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50 years of trade and co-operation: Work in progress
Canada is a trading nation. As a geographically large country, rich in natural resources and with a relatively small population, trade was a natural starting point. But Canada has built on this foundation and today boasts a highly skilled and educated work force, a well-developed physical and financial infrastructure, a transparent and predictable regulatory environment, and a high degree of openness to trade and investment.
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BIS
50 years of productive partnership
Why do some businesses, organisations, economies and even countries succeed in achieving their objectives while others do not? Important insights are provided if we treat each of these entities as a complex adaptive system, subject to the same processes as biological evolution.
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Government of Canada
Canada's economy
Interview with James M. Flaherty, Minister of Finance, Government of Canada
(1063 words)The OECD is a "force for good"
“The government’s top priority is reducing the nation’s deficit and returning Britain to strong and sustainable growth. That means the right economic policies at home and creating the right economic environment abroad.
(259 words)Governments and markets: Time to get serious
How can we all learn from a crisis? Today, we find ourselves in a disappointing, if not altogether unexpected, predicament. The very governments who took bold and decisive action in the period of the financial crisis 2008-09 to bail out banks and keep financial markets alive now find themselves on the receiving end of severe punishment from financial markets. How could this be?
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Bank crisis: Why private creditors should share the burden
The financial crisis has taken a heavy toll on government finances and taxpayers are still footing the bill. Could private investors do more to help out? Mohamed El-Erian, CEO and co-CIO of PIMCO, believes they should. He explains to the OECD Observer.
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Banking on a crisis and on its resolution
The recent financial crisis has left a hole in the public finances of many countries. Yet, with the right preparation, governments may have been better placed to fund that gap. This holds lessons for future crisis resolution strategies.
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Government of Ireland
Ireland: Confident of a return to force
A floor has now been placed under the banking crisis, albeit at a very high cost to the public purse.
(641 words)Building our future together
We are celebrating the OECD’s 50th anniversary during the tail-end of the worst financial and economic crisis of our lifetimes. It’s a good moment to take stock and to ask the right questions. Why couldn’t we avoid the crisis? Were the policies and the policy mix we promoted the right ones, and how can we adjust these polices to new realities? What is more, are we doing enough to prevent another crisis? Are our economic theories, our models and our assumptions still appropriate? How should our organisation’s work be adapted so that we continue fulfilling our founding mission of promoting better policies for better lives?
(872 words)World economy: Crisis over?
“The outlook for growth today looks significantly better than it looked a few months back,” OECD Chief Economist Pier Carlo Padoan says. Growth in the G7 economies outside Japan appears to be stronger than previously projected, with accelerating private sector investment and trade boosting recovery, his analysis showed. Read on here
Restoring public finances
How can governments restore public finances and promote sound economic growth at the same time? With budget deficits stretched and public debt at historical highs, it will not be easy. But the OECD believes that with the right mix of policies much progress can be made.
(801 words)The fiscal imperative
Governments and central banks managed to avoid a global economic catastrophe, but the crisis has left a legacy of nearly bankrupt governments. A quick return to solvency is required.
(766 words)How to reform and be re-elected?
“To reform and to perform” is the goal of many a serious politician. It is not an easy task.
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Trimming pensions
Pensions are a major component of public expenditure, and a target for governments looking to streamline budgets. What are countries doing to manage costs at a time when populations are ageing at an accelerated pace?
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Where are we in the current economic crisis?








